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Ref's Averages Explained

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PRIMARY POLL CENTER

Poll Averages Last Updated 7/20/08, 3:27PM/EST
 Obama 45.4
 McCain 40.7
 
McCain
Obama
Toss Ups
Total
154
243
141
With Leaners
210
276
52
*Ref's Note: 2004 election results affected the Ref's decision in this state.
+15.0
-
McCain
+4.0
-
Lean McCain
+10.5
-
McCain
+9.0
-
McCain
-
+21.3
Obama
-
+3.6
Lean Obama
-
+19.0
Obama
-
+9.0
Obama
-
Kerry +81
*Obama
-+4.3
x
Lean McCain
+6.7
-
McCain
-
+30.0
Obama
+13.0
-
McCain
-
+11.0
Obama
-
+1.0
Toss Up
-
+7.0
Obama
+10.5
-
McCain
+15.6
-
McCain
+18.3
-
McCain
-
+22.0
Obama
-
+9.5
Obama
-
+18.7
Obama
-
+7.7
Obama
-
+12.0
Obama
+6.0
-
McCain
+2.5
-
Lean McCain
-
+5.0-
Obama
+12.5
-
McCain
Tied
Tied
Toss Up
-
+11.5
Obama
-
+4.5
Lean Obama
-
+4.0
Lean Obama
-
+23.0
Obama
+4.0
-
Lean McCain
Tied
Tied
Tied
-
+2.3
Toss Up
+23.0
-
McCain
-
+5.5
Obama
-
+8.0
Obama
-
+12.5
Obama
+7.5
-
McCain
+17.0
-
McCain
+15.0
-
McCain
+14.5
-
McCain
+23.5
-
McCain
-
+34.0
Obama
-
1.7
Toss Up
-
+13.0
Obama
+8.0
-
McCain
-
+11.2
Obama
Bush +40
-
McCain
       

Why the Ref's Poll Averages Offer More

Photo Attributions

Sunday, July 20, 2008

Ref's Best

Sunnis End Boycott and Rejoin Iraqi Government  |  NYT

Hear the one about Obama?  | Financial Times

Obama’s Visit Renews Focus on Afghanistan  |  NYT

Obama Pledges Support to Afghanistan in Meeting Abroad  |  Fox News

Maliki: I Support Obama’s Withdrawal Timetable  |  Fox News  Ref's Comment: This headline, as are many on this issue, are misleading.  Maliki wants the US out as soon as possible but he has constantly, and did so today, opposed a set timetable.  He believes room for modifications in the withdrawal timetable must exist.

CBS scores first Obama interview abroad  |  Politico

VP Speculation

The Buzz About a McCain-Romney Ticket  |  NYT

Closed Mouths, but Open Tryouts  |  NYT

Top Biden Staffer on Obama Trip Overseas, Raising VP Questions  |  Fox News

Inside Baseball

Seven super surrogates  |  Politico

Miscellaneous

Risky Town Halls Become Campaign Staple for McCain  |  Fox News

Old Jokes Getting Old, O’Brien Asks McCain for New Material  |  Fox News

Barr Shows Up at Netroots Nation  |  Wash. Post

Obama keeps returning to Reagan |  Politico

Some Legal Activists Have Hearts Set on 'True Liberal'
|  Wash. Post

 

Editorials

Our leaders go after some Obama magic  |  Martin Ivens, Times

We can't drive 55 |  Chicago Tribune

Black. Female. Accomplished. Attacked.    |  Sophia A. Nelson, Wash. Post

Snubbed by Obama  |  Christoph von Marschall, Wash. Post

Hezbollah wins -- for now   |  Wash. Times

Despite hype, Obama won’t carry Georgia   |  Jim Wooten, AJC

Just Another Pol   |  John Fund, WSJ

California Getaway   |  John Fund, WSJ

How a Young Lawyer Saved the Second Amendment  |  James Taranto, WSJ

Ich Bin Ein Jet-Setter   |  Maureen Dowd, NYT

 

Non-Political Stories

Brazil official's Nazi reference rocks WTO talks  |  AP

U.S. Is Alone in Rejecting All Evidence if Police Err   |  NYT

Search for Alien Life Gains New Impetus  |  Wash. Post

When Sex Is Not as Private as You Expect  |  ABC News

Bank failures raise questions about deposit insurance  |  Arizona Republic

With gusto, Norman meets stiff challenge  |  Boston Globe

Lawsuit exposes growing rift among King children   |  AP

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