Political Ref - Fight Media Bias - Poll Averages - Election Polls - Presidential Polls

Top 5 Battleground States
Nat'l	Obama vs. McCain	Clinton vs. McCain
Ref's Avg. of Battle- grounds	McCain +1.9	Clinton +0.2
PA	TIED	Clinton +5.0
FL	McCain +3.5	TIED
OH	McCain +3.4	Clinton +5.4
MO	McCain +8.0	Clinton +1.0
IA	Obama +5.5	McCain +10.5

Ref's Poll Notes

The nine-point lead Hillary has over McCain in the AP-Ipsos poll is out of sync with the other polls. We have to wait and see if other polls find her lead increasing to determine if this is an anomaly. There does, however, seem to be definite movement in North Carolina with Obama's lead shrinking. Three polls all put his lead at around ten points.

You might have noticed that Obama's lead over Clinton in the Democratic nomination dropped from 10.0 points to 5.2 points overnight. This occurred because the Newsweek poll showing a 19-point lead was replaced with the new Newsweek numbers showing a 7-point lead. The 19-point lead was an anomaly. No other poll showed a lead nearly that large for Obama.

Now that Pennsylvania has concluded, Indiana and North Carolina represent the most important states in this Democratic primary. Watch to see if Hillary can cut into Obama's large North Carolina lead or build up a lead in Indiana. If the numbers remain as they are now, that's bad news for Hillary. Her Indiana lead is small and tenuous and she trails badly in North Carolina. The best she can probably hope for is a wash in terms of popular vote between these two states. If she does that she's succeeded. It doesn't look like she will do that at this point.

Why the Ref's Poll Averages Offer More

Photo Attributions

Obama wins NC, says near nomination; Clinton wins Indiana

Rush Limbaugh Saved Hillary: Obama Camp Credits ‘Operation Chaos’ for Clinton Lead in Indiana - It will be interesting to see if the liberal media mentions this. It's very newsworthy considering that David Axelrod acknowledged arch enemy Rush Limbaugh's influence, but the liberal media often displays disregard for newsworthiness.

Obama Campaign: The Limbaugh Effect Is Real - Accounted for 7% of Indiana Vote

CBS News Incompetence: Calls Indiana Five Hours Too Early - Considering that Hillary won Indiana by a hair at 1:00 AM, CBS News could not have possibly had a firm grounding for making its call soon after the polls closed.

Al Gore uses the Myanmar Tragedy to advance Global Warming Theory . . . with No Evidence

Race Key in Primaries, but Democrats Question Its Role in a McCain-Obama Election

It Was a Decisive Night

Options Dwindling for Clinton

Clinton Aides Doubtful About Future

The Media Effort to Push Out Hillary Starts Tomorrow?

McCain Assures Conservatives of His Stance on Judges

Gingrich Warns G.O.P. Swift Change Is Needed