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Super Tuesday 

Click on a State for Details of that Primary/Caucus

COMPARE THE REF'S AVERAGES WITH THE ACTUAL RESULTS

Republican Delegate Projection

McCain - 703   Romney - 269   Huckabee - 190  

 

Democratic Delegate Projection

Clinton - 1009   Obama - 902  

*Delegates are awarded proportionally in the Democratic Party.  Precise delegate projections are not possible because the percentages change as the vote count comes in.  We will wait until vote proportions in the states are somewhat clear before projecting a delegate count, but they will be speculative.

COMPARE THE REF'S AVERAGES WITH THE ACTUAL RESULTS

Republican Primaries/Caucuses
State
Leader (Previous)
Delegates
Type
Delegate Selection Process
McCain +7.0 (+2.7)
48
Primary
Winner Take All by District + Proportional At-Large Bonus
Alaska
-
29
Caucus
Proportional
McCain +13.0 (+20.0)
53
Primary
Winner Take All
Arkansas
-
34
Primary
Winner Take All by District +Proportional At-Large Bonus
McCain +3.0 (+5.0)
173
Primary
Winner Take All by Distrct + At-Large Bonus
Romney +19.0
46
Caucus
Proportional
McCain +19.5 (+18.7)
30
Primary
Winner Take All
McCain +6.0
18
Primary
Winner Take All
McCain +2.7 (3.4)
72
Primary
Winner Take All
McCain +16.5 (+14.0)
70
Primary
Winner Take All by District + Unpledged State Delegates
Romney +19.0 (+19.4)
43
Primary
Proportional
McCain +19.0
41
Caucus
Proportional
McCain +4.4 (+4.7)
58
Primary
Winner Take All
Montana
-
25
Caucus
Winner Take All
McCain +24.5 (+23.0)
52
Primary
Winner Take All
McCain +28.9 (+24.3)
101
Primary
Winner Take All
North Dakota
-
26
Caucus
Winner Take All
McCain +11.7 (+15.0)
41
Primary
Winner Take All by District + Winner Take All At Large Bonus
McCain +3.3 (+3.0)
55
Primary
Proportional by District + Proportioanl At Large Bonus
Romney +80.0
36
Primary
Winner Take All
West Virginia
-
18
Convention
Multiple Ballot Winner Take All

COMPARE THE REF'S AVERAGES WITH THE ACTUAL RESULTS

Democratic Primaries/CaucusesES
State
Leader (Previous)
Delegates
Type
Delegate Selection Process
Clinton +1.6 (+2.4)
60
Primary
All Delegates Awarded Proportionally
Alaska
-
18
Caucus
American Samoa
-
13
Primary
Clinton (+6.0) +15.5
67
Primary
Arkansas
-
47
Primary
Clinton +1.0 (+3.9)
441
Primary
Obama +2.0
71
Caucus
Clinton +1.7 (3.0)
61
Primary
Clinton +2.0 (+24.0)
23
Primary
Democrats Abroad
-
11
Primary
Obama +15.0 (+13.7)
104
Primary
Idaho
-
23
Caucus
Obama +26.0 (+23.6)
185
Primary
Kansas
-
40
Caucus
Clinton +11.2 (+25.0)
121
Primary
Clinton +7.0
88
Caucus
Clinton +4.9  (+5.5)
88
Primary
Clinton +8.2 (+8.7)
127
Primary
New Mexico
-
38
Caucus
Clinton +8.7 (+16.1)
280
Primary
North Dakota
-
21
Caucus
Clinton +20.3 (+17.0)
47
Primary
Clinton +17.5 (+15.8)
85
Primary
Obama +24.0
29
Primary